This Unknown ICT Concept Made Me See The Future - Top Down Analysis (Full Lecture)

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00:00

all right all right so this lesson is how I do my top down analysis using timebase power three how I use time

00:16

based power three in my top down analysis to find my draw liquidity and I'll also cover some quote unquote Secrets I found with standard deviation as I've used them collected dat of them and what and whatever this lesson is recorded in

00:33

vincer amori by fearing so as covered in our previous video we need to start thinking about every single candle each time frame as open low high close and open high low

00:49

close the opening price of every significant candle can be used in a power three concept If You're Expecting higher prices we look for key levels below opening price and vice versa for if we're expecting lower prices confirmation for every reversal is

01:06

smt so generally a bullish example will look something like this time opening accumulation manipulation distribution we utilize standard deviation

01:21

to show us potential areas to Target and a trade and here's a bearish example but yeah the key to understanding everything is to understand a power

01:38

every single power three this means if we are trading 60 Minute 90 minute for our power 3s and figure out your drawing liquidity we need to start with our highest time frame to me the first or the highest

01:55

time frame that I look at is the quarterly power three the 3mon CLE now I'm not looking at the 3-month chart I'm looking at the daily SL weekly and looking how we

02:10

can utilize it in a power three concept so once we understand where the quarterly power 3 is heading whether we are in the accumulation phase the manipulation phase or distribution phase following the quarterly power three we drop down

02:26

to the monthly power three based off the quarterly power 3 we can understand the monthly power three once we understand where the monthly power three is heading then that's where we can figure out where our weekly power 3 is heading we we do this by looking at

02:41

where we are relative to the development of the monthly power 3 following the monthly we can get into the weekly power three no apologies once we understand where the weekly power three is heading then we can understand where the

02:56

daily power three is heading and once we get a little bit lower I'll cover exactly what I look for give you guys an example and all that and show you guys what I do at the beginning of each week and obviously we're not going to know exactly where

03:12

each day is heading but we can anticipate that based off stuff such as the economic calendar weekly profiles Etc and you know I can keep going

03:30

but let's just say that our daily power three is our weekly power three is bullish we're training our highest probability day which is our going to be our distribution days which are Buy sell days so in a bullish example we' be looking for 10 a.m.

03:46

opening manipulation down potentially leaving a devil's Mark such as this example and let's say we're bullish on The Daily power 3 then we could be looking at for opening manipulation down and

04:03

something like this manipulation down high time from PD smt and so on so now let's get into the main thing showing how we are going

04:19

[Music] to anticipate our power 3es so

04:38

oops all right one second I'm have to go too notion all right so I just kind of quickly want to show you guys what's on here so let's go to

04:54

replay mode so quarterly open immediate smt the high

05:09

accumulation immediate move lower below opening price what I want to quickly ask what is significant about this

05:26

open what can we consider that we can while this is not a perfect example of a devil's Mark we have to think logically what is the significance of a devil's mark it is not just no wick

05:44

on the candle it's generally no it's generally a lack of significance in the manipulation so in reference to the quartly power 3 do we really think that

06:01

our quarterly candle is only going to manipulate 114 points to send us thousands of points lower no probably not let's look at let's quickly reference previous

06:17

quarter prior [Music] to having a bullish corly power three we first manipulate lower how much did we manipulate around 700 points now it's not an exact number

06:32

but it's about you know what I

06:50

mean yep I see there sorry so now another question this is going to be something that you really need to take in consideration when drawing your standard deviations so let's look here at this

07:07

example why so I want you to quickly think about why do we think that price respected this standard deviation leg this first expansion leg slash this manipulation leg they both are equally

07:23

as valid -2 2.5 -2 whereas this manipulation leg from alltime highs you know you might think hey this is the highest manipulation

07:39

like it's the most clear why would we not come down and respect it we have cell side right here it is because we need to understand each power three has limit energy and standard deviation is going

07:56

to be what shows us limits so wouldn't it be logic to only use standard deviation or wouldn't be logical to only use legs for stand deviation projections within the power three we using so the reason that

08:11

this one was not respected is because we are only looking at the legs within the power three we are trading so with this quarterly power three we're looking at legs within starting P here April 1st

08:30

whereas this one was in the previous quarter you see what I mean you could also argue due to the smt that there a reason we didn't reach down here but you know what I'm

08:53

saying all right so now moving into all right so so now moving into the monthly power through we understand that quarterly open we manipulated higher to send us lower and reference to okay so what else opens up at this quarterly

09:10

open a monthly open a new quarterly open is a new monthly open a new weekly open a new daily open so in reality while this smt is really shooting us down in reference to a bearish monthly power three in

09:27

reality that bearish monthly power three is setting up for a bullish quarterly power three we can take this into our daily power 3es where our we might have a bearish 4 our power three in reality that's setting up for a bullish daily

09:43

power three we and also even lower a bearish so when 2 p.m. let's just say when 10: a.m.

opens what else opens at 10: a.m. 4 candle 60-minute candle 30 minute 50 minute Etc

09:59

so the first 60 Minutes might be used as manipulation so we might have a bearish 60 Minute power three from 10: a.m. to 11 a.m.

in reality that's setting up for a bullish 4 power three so here monthly

10:17

open you need to move lower smt following that expansion higher now I'm sure you're wondering isn't this exact same as

10:33

here yes I want you to quickly think about why does price only need to manipulate so little to expand so much higher I'll give you a few seconds you can pause the

10:48

video Whatever let's think logically let's look at what price is already done we already in reference to the quarterly power three we already had accumulation and manipulation we already

11:03

took all of our OB objectives our IP day 20 ipda 40 and ipda 60 obviously at this point in price we're already P that but as price went lower that's what we're hitting we

11:19

already hit all of our ipda objectives what else smt at the quarterly low something I see so many power Traders and when I say so many I mean so many Advanced power three Traders so

11:34

someone like Dexter they always you always see them talk about in their tweets the significance of smt at the previous week high L the previous month high low the previous daily high low 4our high low

11:50

there is significance to that so if price already reached all of our ipda targets we saw smt at the previous quarter low there's nowhere else for us to manipulate really but we need to understand

12:07

that we need to quickly understand what is smt smt is a confirmation for every single reversal so if we need so if the new Power Three opens we need smt to shoot us higher we can almost say price

12:23

algorithmically quote unquote set up a swing low right before the new monthly open so that we can still have S&T to shoot us High because we already reach over targets there no reason for us to come down

12:41

here and then you know we can think a little bit more basically what is stronger our quarterly power three or our monthly power three probably our monthly power three then we can see how

12:58

price it's delivered so far since then and here we are now so next we'll be going diving into our weekly daily and for power

13:15

3 so I'm going I'm not going to go off here off the notion this is all taken from private part of the server so let's get into the weekly part

13:31

three so how do we anticipate our weekly power three what is the what do you guys think the first thing I do at the start of each week is first and foremost I look at where we are in reference to the development of

13:46

the monthly in quarterly power 3 which we just covered next we look at are you know actually I'll just read this off top to bottom but step one identify where the end of the manipulation will be we do that by

14:03

looking at current market structure looking at your monthly weekly time frame power 3es Etc step two anticipated future smt the start and end of every Power

14:20

three phase there's an smt that is the biggest and most important thing you need to look at so the example we're going to be looking at when I made this channel is going to be April 7th to April

14:36

13th so the first step I do or technically second is look at our economic calendar we look at our economic calendar let's look here we have to think about what days so reference to power three what

14:52

days do we think is going to be each AMD so we see Monday Tuesday no news absolutely nothing I only look at Orange folder and red folder nothing here something significant to note is

15:08

this is following an NFP which was the previous Friday so immediately we can think okay Monday is going to be immediate accumulation no point in training that Tuesday good chances also going to be accumulation no news we're following

15:25

one of the most high impact news which is CBI and also foamy minutes not as high high impact but with those on the same day we're not exactly going to anticipate expansion the day before we could potentially see small manipulation but

15:43

realistically based off the rest of the week Wednesday it's going to be a manipulation and Thursday what's going to follow our manipulation plus smt is going to be Distribution on the Thursday and then in

15:59

reference to quarterly theory if what we saw here is correct usually Friday is either continuation or a reversal so we could potentially see Friday to be expansion potentially a

16:14

reversal and so not next we're going to be applying that to our charts and this was all posted in my fear alerts Channel at the start of the week

16:30

so Monday Tuesday I anticipated accumulation and obviously you can see as there still timer here is all post it beforehand anticipate Monday Tuesday accumulation Wednesday manipulation what do we see

16:45

here eolos while there is smt here there was lack of smt here and on the on the opposite end we see price Stack Up lowers liquidity as a

17:01

potential Target for our distribution day so now we're going to be going into our

17:16

chart all right so following our weekly power three and let's go back to that day okay so let's do a little bit of imagination let's imagine that we are we we're a

17:33

Trader a professional Trader who's been trading the last decade at that point we're profitable for so long we really we're not trading every single day we're only looking this trade our most significant days our most high

17:49

probability days and what do you think which day is that going to be it's likely going to be our distribution day which we are going to anticipate to be Thursday so if we're just looking to trade one week one day a week you know let's think

18:07

realistically 50 to 100 minis is what we're going to be looking at trading obviously we're going to be looking at you know if we are professional we're still going to be looking at you know 15- minute 1 hour

18:25

chart seeing what seeing how price develops and reference to our weekly power three Outlook so we see okay weekly open Monday

18:40

accumulation okay as anticipated Tuesday open same thing a little bit more this is our seek this would be considered Seek and Destroy day going from low to high to low to high no real

18:57

expansion but it's still accumulation so as antici so as anticipated so far once they open over my accumulation so this is a bearish daily power

19:14

three which sets up for the manipulation for the a bullish weekly power three so this is development so far

19:34

and for reference there was smt of these lows sure that looks like equal lows that we might sweep again but we can also think that price is going to be leaving that for potentially later let's remember the quarterly power

19:53

3 right now we're in the accumulation phase of the corly power 3 we are not manipulating lower this is per specifically put in so the price can come back later but that's not what we're focusing on we're focusing on the weekly power three because we're in the accumulation

20:08

phase we're not really expecting lower prices or higher prices just yet so daily power three so let's mark it

20:27

out nice daily open just kind of see how we

20:47

move all right so nothing crazy overnight accumulation so quickly before we move anything else quickly let's reference okay so with our daily power three we

21:04

can think very basically we usually anticipate Asian accumulation London manipulation New York distribution so starting with our weekly we've seen accumulation manipulation smt

21:21

confirmation now with our daily power three with it being our anticipated distribution day our buy day we looking for Asian accumulation London manipulation for those who don't know or you know it's just not on the

21:38

top of your head 8:30 is still London session London doesn't end until noon but I generally consider anything before 9:30 London usually when there's high impact news at 8:30 price waits to manipulate until then especially if it's

21:54

something like PPI CPI but all these together so on the okay so actually before we go there on the other end we understand

22:13

that let's reference our quartly power three let's reference where we already manipulated to we already manipulated resar Target let's reference a previous quarter high and low look for smt now we're looking at for previous day high

22:30

and low so you have to take my word here there Wast here there's at this low so overnight accumulation London

22:47

manipulation we saw a30 news immediately drop us form smt followed by immediate reversal AKA setting up for our bullish daily power

23:02

three so now that we see this we see overnight accumulation see London manipulation now New York is setting on for distribution that's what our daily power three is looking

23:17

like so let's get here 9:45 so if you are only looking to trade your 4our power 3es which I highly recommend what do we look

23:33

for we look for if our daily power three is bullish okay actually before I go any further we need to understand so anticipating our for our power 3s our high probability for our power 3s are only right simply a

23:50

continuation of what our daily power three is our daily power 3es are only a continuation of our weekly power 3es our weekly power 3es our continuation of our monthly power 3s our monthly power 3es are continuation of our quarterly power 3s you see what I'm saying you see the

24:07

examples I've been showing does it sign to make sense I hope so so let's look here so since we understand fractal

24:24

nature we understand so let's reference our quarterly power three again accumulation manipulation displacement setting up for the distribution phase with have high high impact news is a catalyst to set up

24:41

for the distribution phase and so what do we see here prior to 10 a.m. opening we saw displacement up what are we looking for 10 a.m.

opening manipulation into a higher time

24:57

frame PD following that we want to see smt again because smt is a confirmation for reversal for every single one of our power threes so here we see a 15minute unmitigated buy as well as a 15-minute breaker I

25:14

seen here these two up close candles even if we just look at that one still valid now with standard deviation what do we see here so St we understand

25:32

based off what I said earlier stand each power three is limit energy standard deviation shows us limits so with our 15minute power three no no my that with our daily power three we're usually looking at our

25:48

15minute yeah almost always we're using our 15minute chart especially for our our distribution days for our accumulation days even manipulation days we can sometimes use a 5 minute but

26:04

usually 15 minutes most consistent with the daily with our weekly we're looking at 1 hour slash 4 Hour little

26:19

FYI so 15 minute busy 15-minute breaker quickly another standard deviation question what is significant about where price is right now at the 10 a.m.

26:37

opening negative 1A 1.5 what is that as our Silver B Zone we look for retracements and entries within here there's two ways to use it there's or at

26:52

least there's two ways that I use it for retracements looking for retracements in here and looking for entries so the first example we see okay 10m opening inside the silver Bol Zone with clear

27:08

Target okay we can anticipate 10m opening to manipulate lower manipulate into here and once we're within here we're looking for smt displacement change in state delivery SL shift of Market structure and then potentially

27:25

well most commonly a 2022 B model for this for this example so since if I go down to the one minute chart it's going to mess up my screen um I'll just show you guys here oh and before I do that in sense of

27:43

TPS let's look what's within here and quickly reference our earlier example we look the partial with a -2 -2.5 look for high time for pay or buy side and then -4 is our ultimate

28:00

Target quick question or yeah quick question what is significant about4 quickly think about it it's our Max expansion Max expansion

28:16

a reference to the power three we're using so we will look the partial within here we see okay this CPI candle this CPI fair value Gap we could see it be filled if if it reaches 2.5 we also see the weekly open within here so we can look the partial

28:33

at the weekly open at -2 so now we're looking for 10m opening manipulation in here now let's see here is the exact same example 10 a.m opening manipulation down I have OT

28:49

drawn we also reached well let me just show you so 10 a opening manipulation down reaches daily open reaches a 50-minute breaker for Vala I draw out OT special way to dry

29:06

I'm not going to cover that in this video but what else is significant about this 10 a opening give you a few seconds reference what we talked about earlier with a quarterly

29:22

candle there's no manipulation here this is our Devil's Mark again doesn't matter if there's a or not there's no significance to where price went to doesn't matter if there's smt beforehand we still should have seen manipulation

29:37

at least to here Le equal Highs at least seen SMD here and price run them if we're going to set up for a bearish you know 60 Minute or 4 power three but instead price leaves the devil's Mark manipulates down into our

29:54

PD what else do we want to see displ smt oh yeah another thing is there's smt at this low which again you can you're going to have to take my word for it you can look back in your chart find it yourself but smt

30:11

displacement changes state delivery which happens after but shift the market structure with displacement 2022 bu model what is significant about this this this trade this was actually taken

30:26

in our live trading call which you can find in you can find scrolling through here the Trad view scroll back to April 11th so that's what we look at obviously

30:41

here we sold at the tum opening and at this buy side level but so let's go back to what we said we were imagining we're imagining we're a professional Trader he's been doing this for a decade when trading heavy sit so let's imagine we took that entry we took

30:58

the entry here but we're a far more experienced Trader we've been in this market for a long time we're trading you know only the 15 minute or whatever we'll be looking at tping here here so let's see how press plays

31:26

out all right quick question let's see if you have a good memory and if you've been taking notes I said there's two ways to use the silver Bol Zone I said the first way is to use it for a retracement second way is what an

31:44

entry we're not just looking for price to come above and go back in no we need see PD so we see price is place above form a 15 minute

31:59

busy comes back into it this can be used let's say we missed our entry down here we could have entered here as well bees a safe so let's imagine you know we are that professional Trader our full size is 100 minis we see something like this an A+ setup we could look to add in

32:18

there and then we're still looking to trim here nothing going against us yet and then boom strong huge displacement out 1:00 pretty sure there was actually news yeah 30-year bound action there we

32:34

can see how Price sets up beforehand but let's imagine we did trim down here you know obviously I can't really do that in replay mode but let's imagine we did trim down here or at the weekly open so price strongly displaces above

32:50

-2.5 when we see something like this we you know anticipate ne4 and even 3.5 let's actually look at what aligns with this so 3.54 lines up with the CPI High a CPI

33:07

high is liquidity on liquidity you know we have a lot of builtup liquidity there we also have unmitigated unmitigated cities here which we can Target

33:24

at4 and so just keep going you know strong displacement above press holds above you know we're pretty confident here we would expect press to run up here all right so press reaches 3.5 no the CPI

33:41

High another thing with s deviation you know it's not just the projections it's the PD res the liquidity that aligns with them that holds importance so boom you see here this is 230

33:58

let's go to 4:00 so 4:00 look up price comes up reaches ne4 what is ne4 Max expansion we don't expand higher than that you know sure with have few ticks but price generally holds it we don't see higher than

34:15

that so that is the power of daily power 3 identifying the daily power three by looking at where we are and the the development of the weekly power three using the four power three to play

34:33

with the daily power three and this is chart of that day boom you know absolutely beautiful

34:49

day you know we very rarely see delivery like this but if you're that professional shair just looking the sh one day a week you know it's a day like this so all right I suppose that's the end of

35:06

the lesson I'm G keep recording answer any questions